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2011 Oscar Odds

For all the gamblers out there.

I don't really know what the numbers mean, because there seems to be a variety of number systems for gambling odds. The numbers listed here are the best odds according to Easy Odds.

Basically, the closer the number is to zero, the higher the probability.


Actor in a Leading Role

Actor in a Supporting Role
  • Christian Bale in The Fighter (3/20)
  • John Hawkes in Winter's Bone (80)
  • Jeremy Renner in The Town (66)
  • Mark Ruffalo in The Kids Are All Right (66)
  • Geoffrey Rush in The King's Speech (11/2)

Actress in a Leading Role
  • Annette Bening in The Kids Are All Right (6)
  • Nicole Kidman in Rabbit Hole (50)
  • Jennifer Lawrence in Winter's Bone (25)
  • Natalie Portman in Black Swan (1/6)
  • Michelle Williams in Blue Valentine (66)

Actress in a Supporting Role

Animated Feature Film

Art Direction

Cinematography

Costume Design

Directing

Documentary (Feature)
  • Exit through the Gift Shop Banksy and Jaimie D'Cruz (7/2)
  • Gasland Josh Fox and Trish Adlesic (10)
  • Inside Job Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs (2)
  • Restrepo Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger (12)
  • Waste Land Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley (4)

Film Editing

Foreign Language Film
  • Biutiful Mexico (6/5)
  • Dogtooth Greece (14)
  • In a Better World Denmark (5/2)
  • Incendies Canada (3)
  • Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi) Algeria (16)

Makeup
  • Barney's Version Adrien Morot (7/2)
  • The Way Back Edouard F. Henriques, Gregory Funk and Yolanda Toussieng (11/4)
  • The Wolfman Rick Baker and Dave Elsey (6/5)

Music (Original Score)

Music (Original Song)
  • “Coming Home” from Country Strong Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey (12)
  • “I See the Light” from Tangled Music by Alan Menken Lyric by Glenn Slater (2)
  • “If I Rise” from 127 Hours Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong (7/2)
  • “We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3 Music and Lyric by Randy Newman (11/8)

Best Picture
  • Black Swan Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklin, Producers (66)
  • The Fighter David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman and Mark Wahlberg, Producers (66)
  • Inception Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers (100)
  • The Kids Are All Right Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte and Celine Rattray, Producers (200)
  • The King's Speech Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, Producers (29/20)
  • 127 Hours Christian Colson, Danny Boyle and John Smithson, Producers (125)
  • The Social Network Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca and Ce├ín Chaffin, Producers (7/4)
  • Toy Story 3 Darla K. Anderson, Producer (125)
  • True Grit Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, Producers (40)
  • Winter's Bone Anne Rosellini and Alix Madigan-Yorkin, Producers (200)

Visual Effects
  • Alice in Wonderland Ken Ralston, David Schaub, Carey Villegas and Sean Phillips (4)
  • Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 Tim Burke, John Richardson, Christian Manz and Nicolas Aithadi (12)
  • Hereafter Michael Owens, Bryan Grill, Stephan Trojansky and Joe Farrell (25)
  • Inception Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb (2/9)
  • Iron Man 2 Janek Sirrs, Ben Snow, Ged Wright and Daniel Sudick (28)

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
  • 127 Hours Screenplay by Danny Boyle and Simon Beaufoy (33)
  • The Social Network Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin (1/10)
  • Toy Story 3 Screenplay by Michael Arndt; Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich (14)
  • True Grit Written for the screen by Joel Coen and Ethan Coen (16)
  • Winter's Bone Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini (33)

Writing (Original Screenplay)
  • Another Year Written by Mike Leigh (33)
  • The Fighter Screenplay by Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy, and Eric Johnson; Story by Keith Dorrington, Paul Tamasy, and Eric Johnson (33)
  • Inception Written by Christopher Nolan (7/2)
  • The Kids Are All Right Written by Lisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumberg (12)
  • The King's Speech Screenplay by David Seidler (3/10)


CATEGORIES WITH NO ODDS


Documentary (Short Subject)
  • Killing in the Name Nominees to be determined
  • Poster Girl Nominees to be determined
  • Strangers No More Karen Goodman and Kirk Simon
  • Sun Come Up Jennifer Redfearn and Tim Metzger
  • The Warriors of Qiugang Ruby Yang and Thomas Lennon

Short Film (Animated)
  • Day & Night Teddy Newton
  • The Gruffalo Jakob Schuh and Max Lang
  • Let's Pollute Geefwee Boedoe
  • The Lost Thing Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann
  • Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary) Bastien Dubois

Short Film (Live Action)
  • The Confession Tanel Toom
  • The Crush Michael Creagh
  • God of Love Luke Matheny
  • Na Wewe Ivan Goldschmidt
  • Wish 143 Ian Barnes and Samantha Waite

Sound Editing

Sound Mixing
  • Inception Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
  • The King's Speech Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley
  • Salt Jeffrey J. Haboush, Greg P. Russell, Scott Millan and William Sarokin
  • The Social Network Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark Weingarten
  • True Grit Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland

And finally, for the hardcore gamblers out there, here are the odds for The King's Speech alone.

How many Oscars will The King's Speech win?
  • 0-2 Oscars (25)
  • 3-5 Oscars (11/10)
  • 6-8 Oscars (Evs)
  • 9-11 Oscars (10)
  • All 12 Oscars (150)



*list of nominees from AMPAS
odds from Easy Odds

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